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SpaceX D2C Aggression Triggers Piper Sandler Downgrade of AST SpaceMobile
3-line summary
- Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter downgraded AST SpaceMobile to Neutral from Overweight and cut the price target to $54 from $98, according to Investing.com. Shares fell about 5% in premarket trading Tuesday, October 13.
- The downgrade cites SpaceX's decision to spend about $8 billion securing mobile spectrum, raising concerns that SpaceX could disadvantage mobile network operator (MNO) partners and limit launch opportunities for MNO-aligned players like AST SpaceMobile, pressure pricing power through competitive cellular services or proprietary hardware, and reduce confidence in the pace of AST's planned 2026-2027 commercial satellite launches.
- Piper Sandler said near-term financial model risk has eased somewhat but remained positive on AST's longer-term outlook beyond 2027, forecasting that SpaceX's aggressive moves will increase major carriers' incentive to partner with independent service providers like AST SpaceMobile.
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